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PICK PERFORMANCE
2024 Results for reference.  Will be updated sometime during the first weekend.

Pick performance analysis for the 2025 tournament is published.  If you are new to the pool, or do not remember, this is analysis of how well teams perform based on how they were picked to perform.  So for each team, you can see how many sheets they were picked on in each round.  Multiply that by the points they would accumulate and you get an anticipated number of points they will earn.  That is in the "POINTS SELECTED" column.

Points earned is based on how many points each team actually realizes.  That total is in the "POINTS EARNED COLUMN"   The performance index is the percentage of expected points that a team actually wins. 

Now if you are wondering why there are so many teams, and all the really good teams, in negative numbers, they need to go deeper into the tournament to have a positive result.  And just by the nature of the tournament, you usually know who the worst performer is after the first round. 






Who will be the biggest disappointment of the 2025 Basketball Bracket Challenge? 



Region Seed Team Round 1 Round 2 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Semi Finals Champion Total Picks Points Selected Points
Earned
Performance
Index
South 9 Baylor 54 0 0 0 0 0 54 540 540 1000.0
East 9 Creighton 22 1 0 0 0 0 23 231 220 941.4
East 10 New Mexico 26 3 1 0 0 0 30 337 286 797.7
Midwest 8 Gonzaga 59 3 2 2 0 0 66 623 531 760.3
Midwest 12 McNeese 13 3 0 0 0 0 16 211 169 758.9
Midwest 7 UCLA 51 7 2 0 0 0 60 495 408 737.2
West 12 Colorado State 21 5 0 0 0 0 26 343 273 725.9
South 7 St Marys 52 9 4 0 0 0 65 545 416 634.3
West 10 Arkansas 20 6 1 0 0 0 27 307 220 629.6
West 8 Uconn 59 6 4 1 1 0 71 684 531 623.3
Midwest 11 TEX/XAV 20 7 1 1 0 0 29 368 240 524.2
West 11 Drake 30 9 3 1 0 0 43 546 360 473.3
South 5 Oregon 65 20 3 2 0 0 90 590 390 461.0
East 4 Texas A&M 57 20 5 2 0 0 84 478 285 403.2
East 6 Ole Miss 50 17 6 1 0 0 74 568 350 398.2
Midwest 4 Purdue 67 22 6 1 1 0 97 554 335 385.7
South 6 BYU 51 17 6 2 0 0 76 591 357 370.1
Midwest 6 Illinois 56 23 3 1 1 0 84 646 392 352.8
West 4 Maryland 66 37 6 2 1 0 112 653 330 182.4
East 5 Michigan 65 43 5 0 0 0 113 741 390 175.3
West 14 UNC Wilmington 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
West 16 Norfolk State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Midwest 15 Wofford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
East 15 Bryant 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
East 16 Ala St / St Francis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
South 15 Robert Morris 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
South 16 American/MSM 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
South 14 Montana 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 15 0 -15.0
Midwest 16 SIU Edwardsville 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 17 0 -17.0
South 4 Arizona 67 49 8 4 1 1 130 782 335 -18.6
East 14 Lipscomb 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 31 0 -31.0
West 15 Omaha 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 48 0 -48.0
Midwest 14 Troy 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 60 0 -60.0
South 3 Wisconsin 76 52 23 3 1 0 155 805 304 -123.4
West 13 Grand Canyon 11 1 0 0 0 0 12 169 0 -169.0
West 9 Oklahoma 18 0 0 0 0 0 18 180 0 -180.0
South 13 Akron 10 3 0 0 0 0 13 185 0 -185.0
Midwest 13 High Point 10 4 0 0 0 0 14 200 0 -200.0
Midwest 9 Georgia 18 1 1 0 0 0 20 205 0 -205.0
Midwest 3 Kentucky 73 47 19 7 4 2 152 852 292 -217.3
South 12 Liberty 12 5 0 0 0 0 17 226 0 -226.0
South 8 Mississippi State 23 2 0 0 0 0 25 227 0 -227.0
East 3 Iowa State 76 50 22 8 3 0 159 888 304 -241.7
Midwest 10 Utah State 26 1 0 0 0 0 27 298 0 -298.0
South 10 Vanderbilt 25 2 0 0 0 0 27 299 0 -299.0
East 12 UC San Diego 12 9 3 0 0 0 24 333 0 -333.0
West 3 Texas Tech 77 58 25 10 2 1 173 969 308 -343.1
East 13 Yale 20 5 0 0 0 0 25 355 0 -355.0
East 11 UNC/SD ST 27 9 0 0 0 0 36 441 0 -441.0
West 6 Missouri 47 10 4 1 0 0 62 469 0 -469.0
South 11 VCU 26 8 4 0 0 0 38 480 0 -480.0
East 7 Marquette 51 5 2 1 0 0 59 494 0 -494.0
South 2 Alabama 77 66 40 11 3 2 199 966 231 -495.9
West 2 St Johns 74 55 38 15 5 1 188 977 222 -527.8
East 8 Louisville 55 8 2 1 0 0 66 619 0 -619.0
Midwest 2 Tennessee 77 69 52 13 4 2 217 1103 231 -662.6
West 5 Memphis 56 33 7 2 1 0 99 687 0 -687.0
West 7 Kansas 57 16 6 2 1 1 83 737 0 -737.0
Midwest 5 Clemson 64 48 6 2 1 1 122 837 0 -837.0
East 2 Michigan State 77 69 46 23 11 2 228 1300 231 -891.3
West 1 Florida 77 71 60 43 24 18 293 1638 154 -1390.0
East 1 Auburn 77 68 62 41 28 17 293 1680 154 -1434.3
Midwest 1 Houston 76 73 62 50 29 13 303 1796 152 -1559.4
South 1 Duke 77 75 66 55 32 16 321 1940 154 -1706.6

ONE SHINING PICK
First, please forgive my inexcusable immaturity regarding the image.  There was a time when I was younger, I believed my body would stop growing (taller) and my mind would continually expand.  I now understand while my body continues to grow (wider), it is my mind that is perpetually stuck at 14 years old.

One Shining Pick are the picks in the pool that only the bravest had the courage to take.  Get one of these rights, and you will pick up points on most other sheets in the pool.  But the odds are against you and the reality for most of these picks is they will lose their luster soon after the ball is tipped. 



Hit/Miss Team Player
ROUND 1
Lipscomb  
Montana  
SIU Edwardsville  
ROUND 2
Creighton  
LIpscomb
Grand Canyon  
Georgia  
Utah State  
SWEET SIXTEEN
  New Mexico  
Arkansas  
Georgia  
  Texas/Xavier  
ELITE EIGHT
  Ole Miss  
Marquette  
Louisville  
MIssouri  
UConn  
Drake  
Texas/Xavier  
SEMI FINALS
  Maryland  
Memphis  
Kansas  
UConn  
Wisconsin
  Arizona  
  Purdue  
Clemson  
  Illinois  
FINAL
St Johns  
  Texas Tech  
Kansas  
  Arizona  
Clemson  
   
 
2024 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament Team Tracker
Louisville New Mexico Ole Miss UC San Diego Texas A&M Lipscomb Michigan State Alabama State Florida Omaha Texas Tech Grand Canyon Memphis Drake Kansas Oklahoma North Carolina
Creighton Marquette San Diego St Michigan Yale Iowa State Bryant Auburn Norfolk State St Johns UNC Wilington Maryland Colorado State Missouri Arkansas UConn St Francis PA
MT St Mary MIssissippi State Vanderbilt BYU LIberty Arizona Montana Alabama American Houston Wofford Kentucky High Point Clemson Texas UCLA Georgia
Xavier Baylor St Marys VCU Oregon Akron Wisconsin Robert Morris Duke SIU Edwardsville Tennessee Troy Purdue McNeese Illinois Utah State Gonzaga

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