Click REFRESH to read the latest and greatest updates!
PICK PERFORMANCE

Pick performance analysis for the 2026 tournament is published.  If you are new to the pool, or do not remember, this is analysis of how well teams perform based on how they were picked to perform.  So for each team, you can see how many sheets they were picked on in each round.  Multiply that by the points they would accumulate and you get an anticipated number of points they will earn.  That is in the "POINTS SELECTED" column.

Points earned is based on how many points each team actually realizes.  That total is in the "POINTS EARNED COLUMN"   The performance index is the percentage of expected points that a team actually wins. 

Now if you are wondering why there are so many teams, and all the really good teams, in negative numbers, they need to go deeper into the tournament to have a positive result.  And just by the nature of the tournament, you usually know who the worst performer is after the first round. 






Who will be the biggest disappointment of the 2026 Basketball Bracket Challenge? 


Region Seed Team Round 1 Round 2 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Semi
Finals
Champ Total Picks Points Selected Points
Earned
Performance
Index
Midwest 1 Michigan 84 82 73 53 25 12 329 1871 1871 1000.0
South 3 Illinois 80 59 20 7 0 0 166 866 866 1000.0
Midwest 6 Tennessee 55 20 3 0 0 0 78 578 578 1000.0
South 9 Iowa 57 0 0 0 0 0 57 570 570 1000.0
East 2 Uconn 81 67 40 12 6 3 209 1049 1037 976.6
West 11 Texas 29 6 1 0 0 0 36 442 426 947.8
West 12 High Point 17 1 0 0 0 0 18 235 221 926.4
South 10 Texas A&M 34 2 0 0 0 0 36 398 374 915.7
West 9 Utah St 47 3 1 0 0 0 51 517 470 862.1
East 9 TCU 35 1 1 1 0 0 38 394 350 844.3
West 7 Miami 58 5 1 0 0 0 64 521 464 833.6
South 4 Nebraska 79 26 4 1 1 1 112 626 551 805.2
Midwest 4 Alabama 73 46 5 1 1 1 127 725 641 800.1
West 4 Arkansas 81 58 7 3 1 0 150 877 753 734.6
East 6 Louisville 53 9 1 0 0 0 63 454 371 734.2
Midwest 9 Saint Louis 33 1 1 1 1 1 38 409 330 727.8
South 11 VCU 32 7 1 0 0 0 40 491 384 675.1
Midwest 7 Kentucky 57 13 4 0 0 0 74 621 456 569.3
East 5 St Johns 79 56 11 5 2 1 154 1098 866 556.7
West 2 Purdue 83 76 47 9 8 4 227 1142 882 512.3
East 7 UCLA 56 14 6 0 0 0 76 646 448 495.5
East 4 Kansas 79 27 4 2 0 0 112 621 395 410.1
Midwest 5 Texas Tech 59 28 4 2 0 0 93 620 354 305.0
South 16 PVAM 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Midwest 16 UMBC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
East 16 Siena 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
West 16 LIU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
West 14 Kennesaw 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 15 0 -15.0
Midwest 15 Tennessee St 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 16 0 -16.0
East 14 N Dakota St 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 30 0 -30.0
South 15 Idaho 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 33 0 -33.0
West 15 Queens 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 33 0 -33.0
West 13 Hawaii 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 42 0 -42.0
South 14 Penn 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 60 0 -60.0
South 13 Troy 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 70 0 -70.0
East 13 Cal Baptist 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 70 0 -70.0
East 12 N Iowa 5 1 0 0 0 0 6 79 0 -79.0
East 15 Furman 3 1 1 0 0 0 5 85 0 -85.0
South 5 Vanderbilt 68 54 9 4 0 0 135 936 408 -92.1
West 1 Arizona 84 78 71 61 43 23 360 2256 1499 -92.5
East 3 Michigan St 82 70 35 12 10 2 211 1304 678 -106.1
Midwest 14 Wright St 8 0 0 0 0 0 8 120 0 -120.0
Midwest 13 Hofstra 11 1 0 0 0 0 12 169 0 -169.0
Midwest 3 Virginia 76 56 23 6 1 0 162 864 304 -208.1
Midwest 2 Iowa St 83 71 53 21 2 1 231 1194 533 -214.6
South 8 Clemson 27 0 0 0 0 0 27 243 0 -243.0
South 12 McNeese 16 4 0 0 0 0 20 264 0 -264.0
West 3 Gonzaga 83 58 27 7 2 0 177 965 332 -289.0
Midwest 10 Santa Clara 27 0 0 0 0 0 27 297 0 -297.0
West 10 Missouri 26 2 1 0 0 0 29 325 0 -325.0
East 10 UCF 28 2 1 0 0 0 31 347 0 -347.0
West 8 Villanova 37 3 2 1 0 0 43 407 0 -407.0
East 11 South Florida 31 5 0 0 0 0 36 437 0 -437.0
Midwest 12 Akron 25 9 0 0 0 0 34 451 0 -451.0
East 8 Ohio St 49 2 0 0 0 0 51 461 0 -461.0
Midwest 11 Miami OH 29 8 1 0 0 0 38 468 0 -468.0
Midwest 8 Georgia 51 1 1 0 0 0 53 482 0 -482.0
South 7 Saint Marys 50 5 2 1 0 0 58 486 0 -486.0
South 2 Houston 83 76 54 25 13 8 259 1484 553 -558.4
West 5 Wisconsin 67 25 3 2 0 0 97 637 0 -637.0
West 6 BYU 55 20 7 1 0 0 83 638 0 -638.0
South 6 N Carolina 52 18 7 3 1 0 81 654 0 -654.0
East 1 Duke 84 81 68 52 39 21 345 2078 819 -864.9
South 1 Florida 84 84 71 43 12 6 300 1529 168 -1251.1
Color Legend Winner
Loser / Missed Points
One Shining Pick Loser
One Shining Pick Winner
One Shining Pick Possible


ONE SHINING PICK
First, please forgive my inexcusable immaturity regarding the image.  There was a time when I was younger, I believed my body would stop growing (taller) and my mind would continually expand.  I now understand while my body continues to grow (wider), it is my mind that is perpetually stuck at 14 years old.

One Shining Pick are the picks in the pool that only the bravest had the courage to take.  Get one of these rights, and you will pick up points on most other sheets in the pool.  But the odds are against you and the reality for most of these picks is they will lose their luster soon after the ball is tipped. 



Hit/Miss Team Player
ROUND 1
Idaho Megan Newberry
Tennessee State John Anneken
Kennesaw Corbin Newberry
Queens Megan Newberry
ROUND 2
Idaho Megan Newberry
Georgia Scott Newberry W6tigh
Saint Louis Spencer Dixon
Hofstra Spencer Dixon
TCU Megan Newberry
Northern Iowa Spencer Dixon
Furman Megan Newberry
High Point Ethan Eckerle RTR7iU
Queens Megan Newberry
SWEET SIXTEEN
Georgia Scott Newberry W6tigh
Saint Louis Spencer Dixon
Louisville Bill Cohen 2
TCU Megan Newberry
Central Florida brandon green Kb7atg
Furman Megan Newberry
Miami Spencer Dixon
Missouri brandon green Kb7atg
Texas Megan Newberry
Utah State Scott Newberry W6tigh
VCU Megan Newberry
Miami OH Terry Burns
ELITE EIGHT
     
Nebraska Megan Newberry
Saint Marys Ethan Eckerle
Alabama Eric Koby
Saint Louis Spencer Dixon
TCU Megan Newberry
BYU David Woolums
Villanova Katie Schwegman
SEMI FINALS
North Carolina Katie Schwegman
Virginia Megan Newberry
Alabama Eric Koby
Saint Louis Spencer Dixon
Arkansas David Stube
Nebraska Megan Newberry
CHAMPION
Saint Louis Spencer Dixon
St Johns David Stube
Iowa State Jennifer Carlton
Alabama Eric Koby
Nebraska Megan Newberry
   
 
NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament Team Tracker
Ohio State Central Florida Louisville Northern Iowa Kansas North Dakota State UConn Siena Florida Idaho Illinois Troy Vanderbilt VCU Saint Marys Iowa Lehigh
TCU UCLA South Florida St Johns Cal Baptist Michigan State Furman Duke PVAM Houston Penn Nebraska McNeese North Carolina Texas A&M Clemson NC State
SMU Villanova Missouri BYU High Point Arkansas Kennesaw Purdue LIU Michigan Tennessee St Virginia Hofstra Texas Tech Miami OH Kentucky Saint Louis
Howard Utah State Miami FL Texas Wisconsin Hawaii Gonzaga Queens Arizona UMBC Iowa State Wright State Alabama Akron Tennessee Santa Clara Georgia

Copyright 2017-2026